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Friday, 14 April 2017

Strategic Analysis GP China F1 2017:

The weather has marked the weekend of the Chinese Grand Prix and the race has been no exception. After raining all morning, the Shanghai track has been wet at the start of the race. All the drivers have decided to leave with intermediate tires, but there has been one that has had more guts than the rest and has ridden super-cars: Carlos Sainz.
You can read here the chronicle of the race
These were the conditions in which the race took place

Cold, very cold, was the word that best expresses the conditions in which the race was developed. Temperatures were very low, possibly at the lowest levels seen in the last five years, causing no time to reach 20 degrees, either on the track or in the environment, and therefore, the rate of warming was Very low, causing the thermal grip levels to be minimal and the sliding rise. The humidity was very high, which meant that the aerodynamic density was much higher and with that there was more resistance to the advance, something notorious but not excessively in the long straight.
The following image shows the situation of the top drivers during the race

Race that presented / displayed enough unknowns how it would happen with many doubts for the equipment and pilots who could not roll sufficiently by the meteorological problems during the free. Everyone except Sainz started with the intermediate tire that had to change in the first few laps because the track dried very fast. Several spins and errors at the beginning of the test caused two Safety Car in which the positions of the pilots changed continuously causing that pilots like Bottas, Massa and Hulkenberg had to advance to recover their position and that they left them outside their objectives. Finally the race ended with Hamilton first followed by Vettel and the Red Bull leaving the drivers 'and constructors' world very tight and more exciting than ever.
This was the pace per lap shown in the race by the different drivers.

Race similar in pace to that of Australia a couple of weeks ago, where Hamilton, Vettel and Bottas are the fastest followed by Raikkonen and the Red Bull. In this case, Hamilton and Vettel manage to roll in very similar rhythms so it seems that Ferrari can live up to Mercedes in this championship, taking in turn more than half a second back to Valtteri Bottas who became the third driver Faster despite not reaching the podium. Verstappen managed to beat his team-mate and Finn Kimi Raikkonen in rhythm with a fantastic performance, achieving a comeback of the race to finish in third position; These three pilots rolled with very close rhythms which caused the final battle between the Red Bull by the last podium of the podium.
After them and in the middle of the grid, the fastest man managed to be Carlos Sainz risking at the start when riding the super tires with some wet areas at the start of the test. He managed to get 4 points to Sergio Perez showing that Toro Rosso is very well prepared to compete for points in each of the tests of this year and with more than half a second per lap of advantage over the Haas who managed to take advantage of the opportunity here Make some point. After them Felipe Massa disappeared that did not find the rhythm with his Williams after the good position obtained during Saturday in the classification, with problems in the initial part of the race, lost too many positions in the first returns that did not manage to recover, very close Of the rhythm of Grosjean, Esteban Ocon and of Hulkenberg with which it had several fights by position out of points in the race of Shanghai. Behind both Renault being Palmer the less pace achieved half a second by lap of his teammate although better than the McLaren, Sauber and some drivers like Kvyat and Stroll who had to retire in early stages of the race.
And this was the intermediate tempo of each batch:

The first set marked the race head, with Hamilton adapting to the conditions of the track after the change to dry tires and marking his own pace without having anyone ahead, taking 4 tenths to Vettel, 7 to Raikkonen and around a Second in this first round to Bottas and the Red Bull. After the error of the Finnish driver of Mercedes, had to overcome positions and was with traffic which allowed the Ferrari to get a better rhythm in this first part, although they had to pass to the Red Bull that got a great exit and benefited of The Safety Car at the beginning of the test. After the 6 fastest drivers, Carlos Sainz and his unique strategy in this race, managed to roll at certain times in the rhythm of the Red Bull finally getting a seventh better pace to half a second of the positions that occupied podium at the moment. Fernando Alonso managed to hold out in the points zone within half a second of his compatriot followed closely and with continuous fights by position with Ocon and Magnussen that were obstructed by the McLaren that rolled to two seconds of the head.

From behind, Ocon with its Force India managed to improve the pace adapting better to the track and fighting to enter the points area, getting ahead of the Haas, Renault and ahead of Massa who had to enter once more into Boxes. Sainz slowed down to find himself comfortable in the seventh position of the race by not being able to fight with the first six drivers and having 10 seconds of margin with his pursuers who was controlling the distance to finish smoothly the race of Shanghai and to collect Other valuable points for Toro Rosso.

STRATEGIES:

The day on Friday, with the lack of shooting due to the red flags that were deployed as a result of the weather conditions had meant that there were barely twenty minutes of free running throughout the day and that the equipment was very scarce in the data Collected, marking a blind race. Only the tests of the third session could give a little light on the conditions in which the race was going to take place, but with all the variability was going to be very present, so it was very important to have a good job of previous simulation and Be very proactive in the strategy. These were the tires that had the teams for the race

With the average tire practically discarded, the choice of equipment was based around the use of the soft and super soft tire, maintaining in some cases one or two sets of soft and three of super soft in most cases, which was Clear that was going to lead to a 2D strategy with the only unknown of the entrance of the rain. This was the behavior of the tires.

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